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The Milwaukee Brewers hold a 3-0 lead in the National League Championship Series against the Los Angeles Dodgers, a result that defies the conventional wisdom of payroll-driven superiority.
FanGraphs analyst Dan Szymborski, creator of the ZiPS projection system, calculated that the Dodgers entered the series with a 58% probability of winning, a figure that reflects the gap between the two rosters rather than a guarantee of victory.
The Brewers' path to this lead has been marked by specific statistical anomalies that contradict popular narratives about their offensive approach.
While some analysts have attributed Milwaukee's success to a contact-heavy strategy that avoids strikeouts, the box scores tell a different story.
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